U.S. housing starts trending up | Pound Ridge Real Estate

Housing Starts in the United States is expected to be 1150.00 Thousand by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Housing Starts in the United States to stand at 1230.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Housing Starts is projected to trend around 1280.00 Thousand in 2020, according to our econometric models.

Forecast	Actual	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020	Unit
Housing Starts	1189	1150	1170	1210	1230	1280	Thousand

United States Housing Starts Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Housing Starts using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for – United States Housing Starts – was last predicted on Tuesday, July 19, 2016.

United States Housing	Last	Q3/16	Q4/16	Q1/17	Q2/17	2020
Building Permits	1153	1130	1141	1152	1178	1315
Housing Starts	1189	1150	1170	1210	1230	1280
New Home Sales	551	475	517	510	510	590
Pending Home Sales	-0.2	0.88	0.72	0.91	1.04	1.26
Existing Home Sales	5530	5472	5453	5439	5417	5182
Construction Spending	-0.8	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.2	-0.9
Housing Index	0.2	0.41	0.4	0.39	0.38	0.31
Nahb Housing Market Index	59	59	60	60	59	53
Mortgage Rate	3.6	5.1	3.68	3.73	3.77	6.5
Mortgage Applications	7.2	0.48	0.53	0.53	0.53	0.53
Home Ownership Rate	63.5	63.53	63.53	63.53	63.53	63.53
Case Shiller Home Price Index	187	192	192	192	193	211