Tag Archives: Waccabuc NY Real Estate

U.S. new homes sales near one-year low | Waccabuc Real Estate

New U.S. single-family home sales fell to near a one-year low in September after two straight months of gains, but a jump in prices suggested that housing remained on solid ground.

The Commerce Department said on Monday sales dropped 11.5percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 468,000 units, the lowest level since November 2014. August’s sales pace was revised down to 529,000 units from the previously reported 552,000 units.

The moderation in new home sales is at odds with other housing reports that have painted a bullish picture of the sector. New home sales, which account for 7.8 percent of the housing market, tend to be volatile on a month-to-month basis because they are drawn from a small sample.

“The September report does little to alter our view that the housing market is continuing to recover. We view the new home sales data as unreliable and many other more reliable housing indicators have been sending upbeat signals lately,” said Daniel Silver, an economist at JPMorgan.

September data on existing home sales, homebuilder confidence and housing starts have been fairly strong.

 

read more…

 

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/us-usa-economy-idUSKCN0SK1PW20151026

US Home Builders Optimistic | Waccabuc Real Estate

U.S. homebuilders are feeling slightly more optimistic about the housing market, nudging their confidence this month to a level not seen since the high-flying days of the housing boom nearly 10 years ago.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index released Wednesday rose this month to 62, up from 61 in August. The last time the reading was higher was October 2005 at 68.

Readings above 50 indicate more builders view sales conditions as good, rather than poor. The index has been consistently above 50 since July last year.

Builders’ view of current sales conditions and their view of traffic by prospective buyers rose this month. But their outlook for sales over the next six months declined slightly.

read more..

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/fronts/BUSINESS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME

Sales of used homes rose 3.2% in June | Waccabuc Real Estate

Existing homes sold in June at the fastest pace in more than eight years, and the median sales price hit a record, according to data released Wednesday.

Sales of existing homes rose 3.2% in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.49 million, the fastest pace since February 2007, the National Association of Realtors reported. Meanwhile, the median sales price rose 6.5% over the past year to a record of $236,400.

Some buyers may be rushing to lock in mortgage rates before they rise further, according to NAR. There’s also a “solid foundation” for more home sales, given healthy jobs growth, said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist.
Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast a sales rate of 5.42 million for June, compared with an original May estimate of 5.35 million. On Wednesday NAR revised May’s pace to 5.32 million.

Wednesday’s report gives markets a look at how buying activity is faring during this year’s hot home-selling season. The sales pace is down about 24% from a bubble peak.

While the growing economy and jobs market, as well as still-relatively-low mortgage rates, are supporting sales, there are also challenges facing the housing sector. Lenders have strict credit standards, erected in the wake in the financial meltdown, looking to protect themselves from the financial and legal risks attached to making loans that end up going bad. Also, while the U.S. housing market as a whole is growing stronger, there are still pools of deeply distress borrowers in the country.

Elsewhere in the housing market, there are signs of uneven improvement. Recent government data showed that new home building sprang higher last month, but the gains were lopsided, led by apartment building. Construction starts in buildings with at least five units made up 41% of total new home construction in June — the largest share in 42 years.

 

 

read more…

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/existing-homes-sell-at-fastest-pace-in-more-than-eight-years-2015-07-22

How Dodd-Frank changed housing | Waccabuc Real Estate

The effect of loose lending during the last housing boom was abundantly clear: Nearly 8 million U.S. homes fell into foreclosure. The response was a slew of new lending rules under the Dodd-Frank financial reform law, and the result was a credit lockdown that continues today, nearly five years after the legislation was enacted.

“For lenders this is all about paperwork, verification and doing a lot of the grunt work that was ignored or passed over before the crisis,” said Jaret Seiberg, a managing director at financing firm Guggenheim Securities.

The rules fill thousands of pages and have cost lenders millions of dollars in labor and software to revamp their systems in compliance, but at face value, they’re pretty simple. Highly risky loan products, like negative amortization mortgages, are now banned. Borrowers must document their employment and debt levels. Lenders must disclose all the costs involved in each loan, and, perhaps most important, lenders must verify a borrower’s ability to repay the mortgage.

That last one may sound ridiculous, but it was the fundamental reason for the financial crisis in housing. Borrowers were given loans they could never repay.

“If you’re a high-quality credit consumer, Dodd-Frank just made it a much bigger pain in the butt to get a loan. You’ve got to fill out more paperwork, you’ve got to dig up more tax returns,” said Seiberg. “You’ve got to find information related to retirement accounts, stuff that was never asked for before. But if you’re on the low end of the spectrum, it has made it tougher to get that mortgage.”

So tough that the average FICO credit score on loans made today are the highest in history. Tight credit, though, is blamed for a still-falling homeownership rate, now at the lowest in a quarter century.

“The biggest misconception is that you need a big down payment to buy a house. It’s just not correct. What has changed is not the down payment, it is the credit and the ability to repay rule. Beyond that it’s the documentation piece,” said Craig Strent, CEO of Maryland-based Apex Home Loans. “It’s not hard to qualify, it’s hard to get through the process because of the massive amounts of additional documentation that is now required.”

Foreclosure bank owned house

Getty Images

Borrowers, however, still complain that it is not just the process, but the level of creditworthiness that is keeping them out of the homebuying market; even the Federal Reserve chair, readying to raise interest rates, says credit is too tight.

“Demand for housing is still being restrained by limited availability of mortgage loans to many potential homebuyers,” said the central bank’s chair, Janet Yellen, in testimony to the Senate Banking Committee on Wednesday.

Tight credit is also blamed for a shift in the lending landscape. Large bank lenders are moving out, and independent, nonbank lenders are moving in. Nonbanks now make up 43 percent of mortgage lending today, up from just 10 percent in 2009, according to Inside Mortgage Finance, an industry publication.

“Banks consolidated massively. The big four are so well-diversified that revenue stream from mortgages is not part of their headline strategy,” said Anthony Hsieh, chairman and CEO of California-based loanDepot, a nonbank lender that has grown dramatically in just the past year.

Private sector investors have not returned to the mortgage market. Loans backed by government entities Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA make up more than 90 percent of all new loans today, a historically high share. During the housing boom they were barely one-third of the market.

“I think Dodd-Frank, not only does it add complexity, but it adds a lot of confusion,” said Hsieh.

It also adds significant costs in time and labor. Lenders like Apex Home Loans have had to hire dozens of additional staff just to comply with new rules.

 

read more…

 

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/07/16/how-dodd-frank-changed-housing-for-good-and-bad.html

Housing’s Share of GDP Expanded at the Start of 2015 | Waccabuc Real Estate

With the release of the final estimates of first quarter 2015 GDP growth (a decline of -0.2%), housing’s share of gross domestic product (GDP) grew to 15.45%, with home building and remodeling yielding 3.14 percentage points of that total.

housing share of GDP

Housing-related activities contribute to GDP in two basic ways.

The first is through residential fixed investment (RFI). RFI is effectively the measure of the home building and remodeling contribution to GDP. It includes construction of new single-family and multifamily structures, residential remodeling, production of manufactured homes and brokers’ fees. For the first quarter, RFI was 3.14% of the economy.

The RFI component reached a $512 billion annualized pace during the start of the year. This is the  highest quarterly rate for RFI since the middle of 2008.

The growth for RFI at the start of 2015 added 0.21 points to the headline GDP growth rate (GDP would have declined 0.4% absent the RFI component).

The second impact of housing on GDP is the measure of housing services, which includes gross rents (including utilities) paid by renters, and owners’ imputed rent (an estimate of how much it would cost to rent owner-occupied units) and utility payments. The inclusion of owners’ imputed rent is necessary from a national income accounting approach because without this measure increases in homeownership would result in declines for GDP. For the first quarter, housing services was 12.3% of the economy or $2 trillion on an annualized basis.

Taken together, housing’s share of GDP was 15.45% for the start of the year.

Historically, RFI has averaged roughly 5% of GDP while housing services have averaged between 12% and 13%, for a combined 17% to 18% of GDP. These shares tend to vary over the business cycle.

 

read more….

 

http://eyeonhousing.org/2015/06/housings-share-of-gdp-expanded-at-the-start-of-2015/

Strong First Quarter for Consumer Confidence | Waccabuc Real Estate

The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment reached a ten-year peak of 95.5 in the first quarter of 2015. Although the Index of Consumer Sentiment Index decreased to 93.0 in March from 95.4 in February, it was up from 80.0 from March 2014. The harsh winter dampened the giddiness of falling gasoline prices from the start of the year. Lower income households reported a loss in confidence because they are more sensitive to higher utility costs and disrupted work hours.

The Conference Board Confidence Index increased in March to 101.3 from 98.8 in February. The March increase was driven by the improved short-term prospects for employment and income. However, consumer assessment of current conditions declined for a second consecutive month, suggesting a softening in first quarter growth. The share of consumers expecting more jobs increased in March, and the share anticipating higher incomes increased from 16.4% to 18.4% in March.

Rising consumer confidence and improved job creation numbers are positive indicators for both improved GDP growth and housing demand once the economy clears the first quarter.

UM & CB three month moving average 3 31 2015

 

read more…

 

http://eyeonhousing.org/2015/03/strong-first-quarter-for-consumer-confidence/

Hidden Buildings | Waccabuc Real Estate

Architects have made a virtue out of the need to hide buildings. London-based dRMMM stuck to stringent planning guidelines for rural development, creating an award-winning design in the process. Their Sliding House in Suffolk replaced a bungalow and some outbuildings with a building based on a traditional timber-framed barn. Yet the structure is mobile: a 50-ton roof and wall enclosure glides along recessed tracks, revealing the house, annexe and garage. (Credit: Alex de Rijke/Ross Russell/DRMM)

 

read more…

 

http://www.bbc.com/culture/story/20150316-buildings-hidden-from-the-world

2014 Ended with 39 Percent of Housing Markets Fully Recovered | Waccabuc Real Estate

As the year ended, 39 percent, or 117, of the nation’s largest 300 markets achieved full price recovery, up 30 percent from the end of 2013. Hundreds of other markets moved closer to full recovery; by December, the average rebound percentage of all 300 markets was 95.85 percent, which was slightly higher than 95.49 percent recorded in November.

 

Markets that lost the least value during the Great Recession have been the first to rebound. Of the markets with a peak-to-trough decline of less than 10 percent, 25 had an average rebound of 107 percent in December. Of the markets that lost 10 to 20 percent of value, the average rebound reached 99 percent of the prior peak price in December. In the markets that suffered the most severe price declines, the average rebound percentage was 81 percent.

 

In December, 42 of the top 100 markets measured continued to show a complete price recovery, increasing by two from November. Jackson, MS and NashvilleDavidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN were the new markets rebounding at 100.15 percent and 100.16 percent, respectively. Additionally, 75 midsize markets saw a rebound above 100 percent, up by four markets from November’s report.

 

“Great progress was made in the housing market during 2014. It put the real estate sector within striking distance of a majority of the nation’s 300 largest markets reaching full price recovery.  As markets reach new price peaks, they are restoring equity to millions of homeowners, making it possible for them to refinance or sell,” said David Mele, president of Homes.com.

 

read more…

 

http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2015/02/8482/

Sweet Little Cape with Its Own Sandy Beach | Waccabuc Real Estate

Technically, this property is in Noyack, but the address is Sag Harbor, and the views are of Sag Harbor Cove. If a buyer is looking for an easy to manage weekend house, this place would fit the bill. It’s small (just 750sf) but nice, with an updated kitchen and bathroom, cozy living room with fireplace, and two bedrooms. Outside, the plot is a petite 0.18 acre, but you get your own sandy beach and a there’s an existing permit for a dock. Price isn’t bad; another house just down the street sold for $2.05M last year, but that was larger with slightly more land.

 

read more…

 

http://hamptons.curbed.com/archives/2015/02/18/

Snap Up a Well Done North Haven Flip | #Waccabuc Real Estate

The brokerbabble for this really lovely flip begins, “Just finished ground up renovation of Captains Manse.” And by “captains manse” we mean “1950s cape,” and by “Just finished ground up renovation” we mean “we shoved assloads of stacked stone everywhere!” All kidding aside, we’re pretty impressed with how stylish the house looks now. It’s been turned from a dowdy three-bed, two-bath to a handsome five bedroom, 4.5 bath house, with 3500sf. The natural materials and copious use of glass keeps the look cohesive, yet modern and airy. We particularly like the interesting lighting. The plot is 0.65 acres, and the original studio has been kept to adjoin the new pool, which is fenced with glass and stacked stone. The place previously sold for $945K; given the quality of the improvements, we don’t think $1.995M is ridiculous.

 

read more…

 

http://hamptons.curbed.com/archives/2015/01/13/snap_up_a_well_done_north_haven_flip_asking_1995m.php