Tag Archives: South Salem Homes

Will Low Down Payments Bring First-timers Home? | South Salem Real Estate

Suddenly More first-time buyers are buying homes.  More are making down payments even as lenders rush to sign up for the new 3 percent down programs launched by Fannie and Freddie in November.  Coincidence or can we connect the dots?

It’s too soon for the new programs to have an impact on sales, but the odds are good that when they do the first-timer spike in sales may turn into a trend.  Loosening standards, improving incomes, soaring rents–whatever the cause, as the New Year begins there’s a refreshing new wind blowing throughout housing markets coast to coast.

According to the National Association of Realtors, first-time homebuyers accounted for 31 percent of existing home sales in November (29 percent in October 2014; 28 percent in November 2013.  Initial December data indicated a pickup of purchases from first-time buyers in November, likely a result of the improving job market and the decline in interest rates to 4 percent.

Zillow predicts that first-time buyers who stayed out of the market – either for demographic reasons or because they just couldn’t find the right entry-level home – will have a breakthrough year in 2015.rding to Zillow.  Zillow’s predictions are based on data showing rents continuing to skyrocket while the for-sale market levels off. That economic reality, increased inventory, and millennials getting married and having children after delaying those choices, will give buyers more negotiating power.  In fact, Zillow predicts the millennial generation will overtake Generation X as the biggest group of home buyers in 2015.

Meanwhile the majority of first-time home buyers making a low down payment appears to be uptrend. Among first-time buyers reported to be obtaining a mortgage in the months of September through November, about 66 percent made a down payment of 6 percent or less.  This is a decline from the 77 percent figure in early 2009, but an improvement from the 61 percent figure at the beginning of 2014.  In 2014 the average down payment for first-time buyers was

On December 8, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced the acceptance of loans originated with a 3 percent down payment under certain qualification guidelines to increase credit availability to first-time buyers meeting eligibility standards. In the case of Freddie Mac, borrowers will be required to participate in a borrower education program. In the case of Fannie Mae, borrowers will still have to meet the standard eligibility underwriting requirements such as those relating to income, employment, and debt, and borrowers will be required to purchase private mortgage insurance. Borrowers making a low down payment may still face higher costs for risk adjustment (called loan level pricing adjustments) in the case of GSE-backed loans.

Within weeks, mortgage lenders—all non-banks—began lining up to announce they were going to participate.

First out of the box to sign up for FHFA program were 360 Mortgage Group and ditech, both with 97% LTV into their product offerings.   Guardian Mortgage Company, Citywide Financial in San Diego, Houston lender AMCAP Mortgage and Michigan-based United Wholesale Mortgage were among of the first to announce they would participate in the GSE programs.

Meanwhile, before the details were even announced, Bank of America came out saying that it does not plan on easing its mortgage standards or offering 3% down mortgages, despite regulators seeking to expand lending.  Wells Fargo said it is currently in the process of examining the new product.

 

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http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2015/01/connecting-the-dots-are-low-down-payments-bringing-first-timers-home/

 

 

Icy Concrete Cottage in Slovenia is Surprisingly Ethereal Inside | South Salem Real Estate

 

k1.jpgPhoto by Janez Marolt via Dezeen

Though inspired by traditional Slovenian cottages, this stony abode near the Slovenian-Italian border is distinctly contemporary. Designed by Ljubljana-based firm Dekleva Gregorič Architects and completed earlier this year, the building dons a six-inch-thick concrete façade that’s been rendered extra rugged with irregular chunks of stone packed in. It’s also blessed with three large windows, surely an upgrade from the “almost windowless” stony houses typical of the region.

Inside, the 990-square-foot looks polished and lightweight, with the interior palette skews towards pale wood and white. Meanwhile, circulation across the second floor, which was created from inserting two wooden bedroom volumes near the gabled roof, is enclosed by breezy ropes and nets. Take a closer look.

 

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http://curbed.com/archives/2014/12/16/dekleva-gregoric-slovenia-karst-house.php

Historic Philadelphia Victorian with 1920s Addition | South Salem Real Estate

 

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Location: Philadelphia
Price: $1,750,000
The Skinny: An unusual historic home in the Northwest Philadelphia neighborhood of Chestnut Hill is on the market for the first time ever, or at least since H. Louis Duhring, Jr. acquired it. Duhring, who designed many of the homes George Woodward commissioned for the neighborhood, had a four-story wing in the Arts and Crafts style added to the home in the 1920s. This new back end to the stone-clad, circa-1860 Victorian brought the total square footage to about 10,000, which counts two apartments reached via a “grand, skylit stairwell,” and a “library/music room” with an original stone fireplace. There’s also a greenhouse and a pool in back.

First brought to market back in June, the dwelling is listed for $1.75M with design store proprietor and Kurfiss Sotheby’s associate broker Virginia Baltzell, whose family owns the property. She thinks it would make a great B&B.

 

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http://curbed.com/archives/2014/12/11/h-louis-duhring-chestnut-hill-philadelphia-home-for-sale.php

 

The Employment Situation in November – 3-2-1, Lift Off! | South Salem Real Estate

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that payroll employment expanded by 321 thousand in November, an increase well above expectations. Monthly employment gains prior to November have averaged 233 thousand in 2014. Job gains in September and October were revised upward by a total of 44 thousand. The average workweek for all employees and average hourly earnings rose. Job gains were widespread. These labor market gains coupled with recent output growth point to an economic recovery that is gaining momentum (Momentum).

blog emp 2014_11_1

From the separate household survey the BLS reported the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.8 percent in November. The report characterized the number of long-term unemployed and under-employed persons (those employed part-time who would prefer full-time work) as little changed in November, but these numbers have been trending down steadily from their peaks. In November these two categories declined by a total of 278 thousand. The labor force expanded by 119 thousand and the labor force participation rate held at 62.8 percent where it has been since April after several years of troubling declines.

Overall this is a very strong report. Jobs are being added at a robust pace, the labor force is expanding, at 5.8 percent, the unemployment rate is at the high end of what some economist might call normal (between 5 and 6 percent). If November’s progress can be sustained economic commentators should be over the moon by next spring.

 

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http://eyeonhousing.org/2014/12/the-employment-situation-in-november-3-2-1-lift-off/

How Can Holiday Shopping Impact Mortgage Approvals | South Salem Real Estate

The holidays are full of generosity and giving, but these feelings can end up costing consumers if they aren’t careful. During the holidays, many stores will try to entice more spending by offering massive discounts for consumers who open a store card. Because of this, the huge increase in holiday shopping is coupled with many people opening new credit cards.

Unfortunately, one of the reasons stores make these “great offers” is so they can lure consumers who are in a shopping frenzy into opening a card with high interest rates and payments. This translates into huge profits for the store and customers stuck with inflated costs for merchandise sometimes equaling triple or more the value of the original purchase, since there are stores online such as ForSale.plus which offer a great variety of products for shopping.

To make matters worse, many store cards offer lower limits to start, so charging up a balance that is close to the limit can cause large score drops due to balance-to-limit ratios on revolving credit (mostly credit cards), putting consumer’s credit scores in a vulnerable position. Another problem with opening new credit is that it reduces the average age of credit. This reflects a higher risk borrower and will drop credit scores.

It’s important to note that for mortgages, even a minimal score drop can affect the score threshold and pricing. Depending on the current credit scores and profile, even if the drop is 2 points under the score threshold needed for the best pricing consumers can wind up paying hundreds of thousands of dollars more over the life of the 30 year loan. This can also mean the borrower cannot afford the amount of loan they were planning on. So opening a Bloomingdale’s card at the wrong time could end up causing a family to lose their dream neighborhood and needing to purchase a smaller house in a less desirable school district. Most individuals opening a store card during the holiday season are not thinking about the huge impact it may have on their family’s future.

What shoppers should remember when holiday shopping is that charging on a regular credit card is a better idea if they plan on paying the balance off a month or two prior to applying for a mortgage. In addition, since credit grantors do not hold card holders responsible for fraudulent charges, it is much better to use a credit card rather than a bank debit card. If a thief gets a hold of the debit card number the losses may be far greater. Essentially, using credit is not a bad thing if one knows the rules of credit and how timing can impact score drops.

​Feel free to reach out to us if you have any credit questions or reports you would like reviewed!

Contact Tracy:

Do you have any credit questions?
Tracy Becker, President
155 White Plains Road
Suite 200
Tarrytown, NY 10591
or  (toll free) 866-388-9400
F :(914) 524-5014 ​​

Builders Continue Optimism | South Salem Real Estate

The November NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose four points to a level of 58 as builders continue to see promise in home selling. This marks the fifth consecutive month for the index to remain above the tipping point of 50 after a slow beginning to the year.

All three components rose with current sales rising five points to 62, expected sales rising two points to 66 and traffic rising four points to 45. These levels are close to but do not exceed the recent peaks of 63, 67 and 47 respectively in September.

The single-family recovery has been hesitant in 2014 with some modest movement forward held back by a slower than expected beginning. Single-family starts averaged 925,000 (on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis) in the first quarter, the same as calendar 2013. They made a modest improvement since then to an average of 1,024,000 in the third quarter.

NAHB expects the fourth quarter to bring continued improvement to that figure but the annual rate for 2014 is still likely to advance by less than 10 percent.

Builders are reflecting the optimism they receive from their customers as potential home buyers benefit from very low mortgage rates, affordable new home prices and price appreciation of their existing home. Pent up demand will push single-family production above 800,000 next year, particularly from current home owners who have experienced the normal life cycle changes that usually drive home buying but has been delayed.

November HMI

 

 

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http://eyeonhousing.org/2014/11/builders-continue-optimism-3/

 

Easier mortgage rules, stable rates bring back U.S. home buyers | South Salem Real Estate

Many U.S. home buyers are returning to the market after almost a year as interest rates stabilize and regulators propose more relaxed rules on mortgage lending.

U.S. homebuilders D.R. Horton Inc and Toll Brothers Inc reported jumps in orders this week at rates not seen since last year.

“We’re definitely seeing a lot more purchase business than we have in the past,” said Matt Hackett, underwriting manager at Equity Now, a New York-based mortgage lender.

Interest rates fell in October to their lowest since June 2013 after rising steadily for the past year. Although up slightly since, they are still at historic lows.

New rules proposed will allow Americans to buy homes with down payments as low as 3 percent.

“The buyers realize that they’re never going to get this kind of low interest rate environment,” said David Crowe, chief economist at the National Association of Home Builders.

Wayne Wellington, a 47-year old inspector at the Broward County housing authority in Florida, said he wanted to upgrade his current house for a larger property before rates spiked.

“Interest rates look like they’re on the verge of moving up a little bit and I’ve got to capitalize now on these wonderful rates,” he told Reuters.

The improvement in buyer sentiment is bringing much needed relief to homebuilders, which reported an underwhelming spring selling season this year. Spring selling is to homebuilders what the holiday season is to retailers.

“First-time home buyers are the ones missing from the marketplace (and) part of the reason we’ve had a relatively slow recovery in housing. Some relaxation in the overly restrictive lending standards will bring the first-time home buyer back,” Crowe said.

The Dow Jones U.S. home construction index rose about 4 percent this year to Monday’s close, after doubling between January 2012 and January 2014.

Five of the largest U.S. homebuilders – D.R. Horton, Toll Brothers, Lennar Corp, PulteGroup Inc and KB Home – trade below their intrinsic values, according to StarMine.

The StarMine model measures how much a stock should be worth when considering expected growth rates over the next 15 years.

 

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http://finance.yahoo.com/news/easier-mortgage-rules-stable-rates-182541447.html

Housing Fails to Overcome U.S. Home-Loan Rates | South Salem Real Estate

 

Falling U.S. mortgage rates stem from the housing market’s inability to withstand increases last year, according to Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Bank of America Corp.’s Merrill Lynch unit.

The CHART OF THE DAY tracks an index of loan applications to buy homes, as compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Hartnett mentioned the indicator in a report two days ago that described weakness in housing as “the biggest macro story of the year,” outweighing economic slumps inChina and Europe.

This year’s average reading for the home-purchase index would be the lowest for an entire year since 1995. On a weekly basis, the indicator has fallen as much as 30 percent from last year’s peak, reached in the first week of May.

Thirty-year mortgage rates rose 1.11 percentage points from the start of May through the end of June to 4.46 percent, according to data compiled by Freddie Mac. The national average stayed above 4 percent until this month.

“Both the supply of and demand for residential mortgages in the U.S. remains very weak,” wrote Hartnett, based in New York. “Thus, the U.S. mortgage market could not cope with the jump in rates in 2013.”

Rates had to decline this year “to a more stimulating level,” he wrote. This week’s 30-year average, 3.92 percent, was 0.56 point lower than at the end of last year. The fixed rate is headed for its fourth annual drop in five years.

 

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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-24/housing-fails-to-overcome-u-s-home-loan-rates-chart-of-the-day.html?cmpid=yhoo

America’s housing policy: The definition of insanity | South Salem Real Estate

If the definition of insanity is “doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result,” then clearly Albert Einstein is not responsible for America’s housing policies.

Federal Housing Finance Agency director Mel Watt on Tuesday unveiled new regulations that would make it easier for Americans to buy a house with little or no money down. The rules are aimed at private lenders who opposed a proposal that borrowers make a 20% down payment.

“Finalizing this rule represents a major step forward to providing greater certainty to the housing finance market and paves the way for increased participation by the private sector,” Watt said Tuesday at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s annual conference held at the Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas (A casino? Really? The optics couldn’t be worse.)

In 2013, less than 2% of the $1.6 trillion of MBS issued were so-called private-label securities, meaning they did not have government backing.

In separate but related news, Watt earlier this week announced that Fannie and Freddie are planning to guarantee loans with down payments as little as 3%, down from 5% previously and back to pre-crisis levels.

Insanity number one is the government bending to industry lobbying against proposed rules designed to tighten lending standards and force borrowers to have more “skin in the game” vs. less. The FHFA also loosened proposals to ensure banks have some “skin in the game” by forcing them to hold a small portion of the loans rather than bundling them together and selling them as mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The 5% “risk-retention rule” requires banks to hold onto 5% of loans they sell but exemptions “may enable the banks to hold less or nothing,” The NYT reports.

Insanity number two is the federal government saying they want to encourage private lending but at the same time “shifting course on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, announcing plans to use the mortgage giants to expand credit rather than reducing their outsize role in the housing market,” as The WSJ put it.

Fannie and Freddie already back 60% of all mortgages originated in the private market and guarantee 90% of all new mortgages underwritten, according to Investors Business Daily.

The root of all this insanity is a housing market that not only needs the Fed to keep rates at zero “for a considerable time” but also massive government-sponsored subsidies to maintain altitude. After two years of strength, the housing market has clearly cooled in recent months. From August 2013 to February 2014, the year-over-year increase in the Case Shiller national home price index exceeded 10%. The pace of increase has declined every month so far in 2014 and was at 5.6% in July, the most recent available, the slowest pace since November 2012.

The Obama administration, the Fed and the private lenders all share the same concern: That the housing market rebound is running out of steam and will start to rollover without additional incentives for banks to lend — and Americans to borrow. The MBA expects total lending for home purchases to fall 13.5% in 2014, The WSJ reports.

 

 

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http://finance.yahoo.com/news/america-s-housing-policy–the-definition-of-insanity-145304611.html

Why Does Negative Info Stay on Credit Reports for 7 Years? | South Salem Real Estate

Under the Fair Credit Reporting Act, most negative information can be reported on credit reports for seven years. Why seven? Why not five, or 10 or some other amount of time?

I began to ponder that question after Congresswoman Maxine Waters proposed that negative information be deleted from credit reports after four years. She pointed out that other countries limit reporting to shorter periods of time. In Sweden, it’s three years and in Germany it is four, for example.

For someone who has experienced credit problems, seven years can seem like an eternity. During that time, you may feel like a prisoner of your credit rating; turned down for credit or charged more when you are approved, or even denied a job due to that information. (Under federal law, you can find out what’s in your credit report for free once a year, and you can get your free credit score updated monthly from Credit.com.)

Unraveling the Mystery

Hunting down the origins of the seven-year reporting period turned out to be more difficult than I expected. After all, the Fair Credit Reporting Act was enacted in 1970, some 44 years ago.

Querying many of the consumer credit experts I have worked with over the years, I heard a variety of answers ranging from, “I have no idea” (the most common answer), to a more colorful response about legislators pulling it from somewhere other than thin air.

Several people suggested a biblical connection. For example, Rod Griffin, director of public education for Experian, speculated that the seven-year period came from a passage in Deuteronomy that mandated forgiveness of debts every seven years.

David Robertson, publisher of The Nilson Report, who has been following the credit industry for decades, suggested it started at the state level. It “became something that went from one state to another state,” he said.

That’s not a bad theory, and state laws may have in fact influenced the federal legislation, even if indirectly. Consumer bankruptcy attorney Eugene Melchionne, who worked for a credit bureau before it was computerized, wrote in an email that when he first heard of the FCRA, he figured the reporting period had to do with the state statute of limitations. In Connecticut, where he practices, it is “six years from the date of last payment or the execution of the contract whichever is later (for written contracts),” he wrote. “I just assumed that the seven years allowed for sufficient time to allow the SOL to pass.” But that theory went out the window when he learned that the statute of limitations may be longer or shorter in other states.

Finally, a congressional staffer was able to fill me in on the legislative history:

When Congress originally considered the Fair Credit Reporting Act in the 1960s, it appears as though the permissible time periods for removing adverse information originated as a compromise between the differing House and Senate positions. The House considered limiting the time period to three, seven or 14 years. The Senate, however, proposed a more general standard of a “reasonable period of time.”

According to the Congressional Reporting Service, some consumer advocates argued that the “reasonable” standard was too ambiguous and pointed out that the seven year time period was already being commonly used by industry at the time.

Of course that still leaves something of a question as to why seven years is considered the appropriate period of time for negative information to be reported. After all, a lot has changed since then.

“When the FCRA was passed in 1970, credit scores were not in use, loan products were limited and lending was a yes or no decision,” says Norm Magnuson, vice president of public affairs for the Consumer Data Industry Association (CDIA). “Today it’s a more nuanced approach to underwriting; risk-based pricing is the norm. What that has done is brought more consumers into the credit market.”

 

 

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http://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-does-negative-stay-credit-090034258.html