Tag Archives: Chappaqua Homes
Tory Burch’s Hamptons Mansion Sells at Deep Discount | Chappaqua Real Estate
Source: WikicommonsEleven million may sound like a lot of money, but for a South Hampton waterfront mansion, it’s spare change.
Tory Burch’s home has finally sold after a series of price cuts, and it represents a steep loss: The apparel, shoe and handbag designer bought the home in the wake of her divorce for $22.5 million.
The deeply discounted selling price not only hurts Burch, but according to the NY Post, it hasn’t made some of her neighbors too happy either. The waterfront estate is located at 2080 Meadow Ln, Southhampton, NY 11968, a prestigious area that is home to big names like David Koch, Calvin Klein, Janna Bullock and Rachael Ray.
A source told the New York Post:
Everyone in the neighborhood is staggered that she sold it at such a low price. It has sparked a lot of worry if this will affect the market and their own homes, but also a lot of speculation as to why she sold it off so cheaply.”
The home did have water damage from burst pipes, and Curbed called the home a “tear-down,” but $11 million for the property, in an area where homes sell for $30 to $50 million, still has the neighbors concerned.
Storied West Hollywood Condo Has Sumptuous Design for $4.75M | Chappaqua NY Realtor
Mortgage rates have room to move lower | Chappaqua NY Homes for sale
Financial markets are surprisingly stable, especially credit markets. Following the Fed’s September QE3 announcement of open-ended intent to buy mortgage-backed securities, the 10-year Treasury note was left to the mercy of markets.
Since then, 10-year Treasurys have not traded above 1.75 percent or below 1.5 percent. Meanwhile, 30-fixed mortgages have broken as low as 3.25 percent.
In “normal” times, mortgage rates track the ups and downs in 10-year Treasury yields fairly well. There’s a “spread” between 10-year Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities — bond-like investments that fund most mortgage loans — that relects, in part, investor perceptions that Treasurys are safer investments than MBS. The “spreads” we’re seeing now between yields on 10-year Treasury notes and MBS are lower and tighter at any time since “normality” went out the window in 2007.
I had thought that 3 percent was probably the lowest mortgage rates could go, but if the Fed buys MBS for long enough to work off presently infinite refinance demand (which will last many months, maybe through the end of 2013), retail mortgage prices can fall below that barrier just by more compression of “spread.”
Today, the main thing holding rates above 3 percent is the profiteering of big banks, increasing their margins as the Fed tries to shrink them. The worst of the piracy: jacking margins on refis of underwater households. I would say, “Shame,” but to no effect on bank boards and executive suites ethically unreformed through this whole process. All the new rules in the world cannot substitute for a sense of citizenship.
While we enjoy new, super-historical lows, more in prospect, consider the causes …
U.S. data is as unchanged as can be, on a 1.5 percent-2 percent GDP slope but fragile. The September small-business survey by the National Federation of Independent Businesses downshifted by an undetectable 0.1 percent. The trade picture was a bit more cautionary, both imports and exports contracting; imports slide when U.S. demand fades, and exports dim when the outside world fizzles.
The strongest positive here is housing, but its improvement is far oversold in media commentary. Most economic punditry comes from financial markets, which had housing wrong all the way down, and can be counted upon to have it wrong on the way up. Housing industry analysts tend to perpetual optimism, correct only by accident.
The finance guys cannot process the differences between their markets and housing: Their securities are uniform and move all together, while our houses are no-two-the-same, and any concerted market movement is at the neighborhood level.
Terms of credit affect stock and bond markets, but nothing like housing. Imagine if you wanted to sell a share of Apple today, and had a willing buyer at $630 but the NASDQ exchange required an independent appraisal of the stock, made you wait two weeks, and then capped the price at $500 based on “sound underwriting.”
Housing now enjoys very gradual improvement, especially in states whose foreclosure-by-trustee has speeded the process. However, the “recovery” that finance types see propelling the entire economy is still over the horizon.
“Mortgage equity withdrawal” is a measure of net contribution of housing to personal income, during the bubble adding as much as 10 percent per year(!). Since 2008, MEW has subtracted about 3 percent annually from personal income, and still does — no mere headwind, but hail in the face.
The greatest risks are overseas, quantifiable in some ways, but timing unknown. Greece lies prostrate in depression, its national debt still 160 percent of GDP requiring another restructuring transfusion.
That debt is now held by European governments, the ECB and the IMF, none of which can face the need to write off the two-thirds necessary to allow the Greek economy to function. Thus the next transfusion will be just enough to buy time, not for Greece itself, but the utterly corrupt European leadership.
That leadership had a signal week on other grounds. France-based EADS and U.K.-based BAE were close to merger, $90 billion in combined aerospace and defense sales, the merger a benefit to both, enabling competition with the likes of Boeing.
Any big merger in Europe requires multigovernmental approval, and Germany insisted on a Munich headquarters for the new company and expansion of German operations. All media concur: On Wednesday Angela Merkel personally pulled the plug on the merger, and Germany did not attempt any form of denial. “One Europe” the euro objective? Sure.
The global balance is delicate, but the economic/political weakness in Europe, China and emergings still strongly favors the U.S., if only by removing any threat of inflation, which is the prerequisite for continuing QE3 and super-low rates here.
Housing Is Bright Spot In Beige Book | Chappaqua Real Estate
The housing market showed broad improvement as the economy continued to expand modestly in late August and September, the Federal Reserve said Wednesday.
The Fed’s “beige book” report reinforced a host of recent data suggesting the housing market’s recovery is picking up steam. The report, which is based on anecdotes from business contacts and economists, said existing-home sales strengthened in all 12 Fed districts, while selling prices rose or held steady.
In general, the Fed noted that economic activity “generally expanded modestly” since its last report, with consumer spending inching up or staying level.
Some districts noted that uncertainty over the presidential election, the U.S. budget outlook and the European sovereign-debt crisis were keeping some employers from hiring.
The economic snapshot was prepared by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York based on information gathered on or before Sept. 28 and will be used for discussions at the Fed’s next policy meeting, Oct. 23 and 24.
The beige book observed that “residential real estate showed widespread improvement since the last report.” That is in line with data showing a nascent firming in a sector once rocked by the collapse in housing prices and the recession. Sales of previously occupied homes reached their highest level in more than two years in August, the National Association of Realtors said last month.
The Fed noted that shrinking inventories of houses helped push up prices in some districts. Some regions saw robust growth in the construction of multi-family units. The commercial real-estate market was “mixed,” with some softening in the office market.
At its policy meeting in September, the Fed took action to boost the housing market. The central bank launched a bond-buying program, under which it will purchase an additional $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities each month until the labor market significantly improves. The Fed opted to buy mortgage-backed securities to help put downward pressure on mortgage interest rates.
Some districts reported that retail sales were being held back by rising gasoline prices, political uncertainty and “concerns about the fiscal cliff.” That is a reference to the package of tax increases and spending cuts scheduled to simultaneously take effect at the start of 2013 unless Congress reaches a deal to avert them. Manufacturing conditions were mixed, but “somewhat improved,” while tourism remained steady at “robust levels.”
The Fed found price pressures were contained.
Debate leaves some taxing questions about housing unresolved | Chappaqua Realtor
Mitt Romney and Barack Obama images via MittRomney.com and WhiteHouse.govAnybody who watched it knows that Mitt Romney scored a technical knockout of President Obama in last week’s debate. But are there some potential future costs and concerns for housing that have to be looked at in the wake of that victory?
On the one hand, Romney surprised Obama with sharp criticism over an issue that has plagued homebuyers and refinancers: the super-strict underwriting and documentation that banks are requiring for home loans, in part because they’re worried about forthcoming “qualified mortgage” federal rules under the Dodd-Frank financial reform legislation.
“It’s been two years,” Romney said to Obama at the Denver debate, “We (still) don’t know what a ‘qualified mortgage’ is. So banks are reluctant to make mortgages … It’s hurting the housing market.”
There’s no question that regulators have proceeded at a frustratingly glacial pace since the passage of Dodd-Frank in July of 2010, and we don’t know what the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau will come out with on this issue in early 2013.
Will the bureau, which took over the project from the Federal Reserve in mid-2011, create a straightforward “safe harbor” for lenders — a set of basic bright lines defining an applicant’s “ability to pay” within which banks can originate loans without fear of litigation every time a borrower goes seriously delinquent?
Or will regulators instead open the door to nitpicking, costly lawsuits and thereby make lenders even more gun-shy about originating new mortgages?
The wrong answers could wreck mortgage lending for years to come.
Obama had no response to Romney’s critical shot on qualified mortgages and maybe wasn’t even aware of the problem. In fact, it’s possible even Romney hadn’t heard much about it until the previous week, when his team was briefed by David H. Stevens, CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association, who’s also the former FHA Commissioner and former head of Long and Foster Realtors.
Qualified mortgage (QM) was a well-prepared debate zinger, and put the spotlight on an undeniable failing of this administration: lackluster response times to urgent housing needs, plus unworkable regulatory proposals that have delayed needed guidance on mortgages even longer. (Remember “QRM” — the proposed mandatory 20 percent down payment plan? It’s still nowhere to be seen.)
But Romney’s good stuff on qualified mortgages was not the most important matter involving real estate that came up in the debate. Romney’s tax plan — the one that Obama charged repeatedly would add trillions to the deficit — never was addressed in terms of its specific potential impacts on homeowners.
Romney never said the words “mortgage interest deduction” during the debate, but the MID, along with most other longstanding and popular write-offs, is at the core of his tax reform concept.
In order to pay for the estimated $4.8 trillion in tax revenue reductions he proposes — starting with a 20 percent across-the-board cut in tax rates, elimination of the alternative minimum tax, the estate tax and other revenue-losing measures — Romney needs to eliminate or downsize trillions in tax deductions, credits and subsidies. That’s how his plan is supposed to achieve revenue neutrality, i.e., it wouldn’t raise the deficit.
Two days before the debate, he told Denver TV station KDVR that he’s open to limiting the MID along with a long list of other write-offs as part of an overall reform of the tax code.
“As an option,” Romney told his interviewer, “you could say everybody’s going to get up to a $17,000 deduction. And you could use your charitable, home mortgage deduction or others — your health care deduction, and you can fill that bucket, if you will, that $17,000 bucket, that way.”
Earlier this year, at a private fundraising meeting, Romney told supporters that among other options on taxes, he would consider eliminating the mortgage interest deduction for second homes outright.
Tax reform proponents, such as the bipartisan, nonprofit Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, praised Romney’s concept of capping or eliminating popular write-offs as “very significant and progressive” following the debate. “Progressive” in tax lingo means: It siphons off more money from higher-income taxpayers than it does from lower- and middle-income folks.
The committee noted that just 30 percent of all U.S. taxpayers itemize at all, yet “almost all higher earners currently itemize more than $17,000 in deductions.” In fact, the committee added, the average itemizer in 2011 wrote off $26,000, and the top 1 percent of earners wrote off an average $174,000.
Absent additional details about the tax reform plans from Romney, large numbers of homeowners would be forced to choose which write-offs went into their capped deduction “buckets.” Do we take deductions for the mortgage interest we paid, or do we write off what we donated to charities?
During the debate, Romney said he was open to higher numbers on caps, but that all of this would have to be worked out in negotiations with Congress after he took office. Hmmmm.
Make no mistake: When it comes to housing-related write-offs, we are talking big, big numbers that could solve a multitude of revenue-raising problems.
According to the Joint Congressional Committee on Taxation’s latest projections, the home mortgage interest deduction will save homeowners — and cost the federal Treasury — nearly half a trillion dollars ($484 billion) during fiscal years 2010-2015. Local real estate tax deductions for homeowners will save owners — and cost the government — about $121 billion. The capital gains exclusion for home sales alone comes in at $86 billion.
Though the main housing lobbies have been quiet about Romney’s tax plans — preferring to wait for more details — the fact remains: For the first time in years, we have a Republican presidential candidate who is willing to put some of housing’s most sacrosanct tax code preferences on the cutting block. Obama talks about limiting MID write-offs for people who make $250,000 or more. Romney is talking about much bigger limitations.
Sure, it’s campaign rhetoric, and sure, the deduction cutbacks have to be seen in the context of significant reductions in tax brackets that would lower taxes elsewhere. But the crucial question is: What would this all do to housing values, sales, building and homeownership?
We could really use some details.