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Armonk NY Homes

Armonk Sales up 16% – Prices down 15% | RobReportBlog | Armonk NY Real Estate Report

Armonk Sales up 16% –  Prices down 15%  | RobReportBlogArmonk NY Real Estate Report  –  last six months

2012

50                       homes sold

$890,000       median sales price

$150,000       low

$3,753,750    high

3479                  ave. size

$329                  ave. price per foot

196                     ave. days on market

93.66%              ave. sold to ask price

$1,136,011      ave. sold price

Housing Prices Keep Slow, Steady Climb Up: Case-Shiller | Armonk Real Estate

Home prices increased in September in most major U.S. cities, more evidence of a housing recovery that is providing a lift to the fragile economy.

Sold sign

The Standard & Poor’s/Case Shiller national index measuring prices in 20 cities rose 3 percent in September compared with the same month a year ago. Prices also gained 3.6 percent in the July-September quarter compared with the same quarter in 2011. (Read More: Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers)

Across the nation, prices increased in 18 of 20 cities.

Phoenix prices jumped 20.4 percent over that stretch to lead all cities. Prices in Atlanta showed a modest 0.1 percent increase, ending 26 straight consecutive year-over-year declines.

Prices also rose in September from August in 13 cities. Five metro regions posted declines, and two were unchanged. Monthly prices are not seasonally adjusted.

Homebuying wish list lets buyers see the big picture | Armonk Realtor

“I’ll know it when I see it.” “This doesn’t feel like home to me.” “Someday the right one will come along; I’ll keep looking until it does.” “It’s going to be my home; it has to feel special.”

These comments are typical of buyers who’ve looked for a while but haven’t committed to buying. The objections sound sensible. Yet, they could be excuses not to buy.

Homebuying is not for everyone. It’s a major commitment and is often the most expensive purchase most people will make in their lifetime. It’s understandable that some buyers approach the home search with reservations.

You’ll save a lot of time and energy if you can determine if homebuying is for you before you start looking. Then for the best result, approach the house hunt methodically and with the understanding that it will take time.

The first step is to make a list of all the features you need and want in a home. Think about your current home, and others that you’ve lived in. Consider what you liked and disliked about them.

The next step is to prioritize the list distinguishing what you must have and what you’d like to have. You’re unlikely to find all of the items on your list in one home.

HOUSE HUNTING: It will help to prioritize your list if you look at some homes for sale in your price range and in the areas where you’d like to live. Visiting Sunday open houses or looking at listings online can help you to familiarize yourself with the local inventory if you haven’t already selected a local real estate agent.

You may find that some of the items you’d like to have in your home don’t exist in your target area. For example, let’s say you want to live in a neighborhood of charming older homes that are close to shops and transportation. You also want a two-car attached garage. Smaller homes built in the 1920s or earlier usually don’t have two-car garages.

This is where compromise comes into play. If the older, conveniently located neighborhood is high on your wish list, you will need to be willing to settle for a one-car garage, or perhaps no garage. If the two-car garage is a must, you may need to consider homes that were built more recently, and are not as conveniently located.

As you’re looking at homes for sale, try to see beyond the seller’s décor and the staging. A well-staged home can mask floor plan defects. It can be misleading in terms of what you need in a home. For instance, a first-time buyer made the mistake of buying a home that was staged so well that she didn’t realize that there was no formal dining room and no eating area in the kitchen.

On the other hand, you may be tempted to turn down a home that’s staged to appeal to the widest audience but appears not to suit your needs. Let’s say a home has three bedrooms but no home office. If you need only two bedrooms, you could use the third bedroom as an office, even though it’s not represented that way.

The best way to see a home you’re really interested in is with your agent. Many buyers aren’t good at visualizing a home any other way than how it’s shown. An experienced agent should be able to show you how you can adapt a home to your needs.

It’s often hard to make a good assessment of a home you’re serious about at a Sunday open house. Have your agent take you back for a second or third look.

THE CLOSING: Bring your wish list and discuss the pros and cons before you make a final decision.

Armonk Realtor | Housing starts increase by 15%

The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reports privately owned housing starts increased 15% since August from an annual rate of 758,000 to 872,000 homes.

That is 34.8% above last year’s rate of 647,000. The single-family housing starts in September climbed 11% at a rate of 603,000 from August where it was at 543,000. The September rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 206,000.

Authorized building permits for privately owned housing grew 11.6% in September at annual rate of 894,000 from August’s annual rate of 801,000, and is a 45.1% increase from last year.

Single-family authorizations in September grew 6.7% in September at a rate of 545,000 from August’s rate of 511,000. Authorizations of units in building with five or more were at a rate of 323,00 in September.

The 15% increase in housing starts is a great thing, because this means that the household formation rates have grown. In 2011, they doubled for a positive housing demand, which means consumers are purchasing more property rather than renting.

Existing home and new home sales are also increasing at a 10% year-over-year rate, which mean demand is significantly higher, and mortgage rates are at an all time low. Since consumers are purchasing properties more now, the existing home inventory is down 20% year-over-year and at six months supply, which is back to normal for a good, healthy market.

Specifically, new home construction will make a fill comeback once the job market rebounds. With these current trends that we are seeing now, analysts expect a slow, but positive improvement in both markets.

via housingwire.com

Armonk NY Realtor | Investors that profited from bust are going long

Investors who made some of the biggest profits from the 2007 bust in U.S. mortgages are once again in agreement. This time, they’re going long.

Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass, who made $500 million betting against subprime debt in the crash, is raising a fund to buy home loan securities. He’s joining Greg Lippmann, a former Deutsche Bank AG trader, and John Paulson, who made $15 billion in 2007, in betting on default prone mortgages. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and American International Group Inc. have also emerged as buyers this year as trading more than doubled for non-agency mortgage notes.

The $1.1 trillion market for U.S. mortgage bonds without government-backing is joining a global rally in everything from stocks and commodities to company loans, as confidence grows that Europe’s sovereign debt crisis will be contained. Investors are speculating the riskiest mortgage securities are priced to withstand an economic slowdown and home price declines even as President Barack Obama and the Federal Reserve pursue policies to combat the six-year residential real-estate slump.

“You can end up, even using severe assumptions on things such as home prices and defaults, with a very high yield based on the prices that bonds are trading at,” Larry Penn, CEO of Old Greenwich, Conn.-based Ellington Financial, said Tuesday in a telephone interview. “Especially with interest rates this low, if you can buy something where you can end up with a double-digit yield under severe assumptions, that’s great.”

Typical prices for the most-senior bonds tied to option adjustable-rate mortgages rose to 55 cents on the dollar last week from 49 cents in November, according to Barclays Capital.

Option adjustable-rate mortgages, a type of loan that allowed borrowers to pay less than the monthly interest due with the shortfall added to the balance, were among the “toxic” debt that the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission said was at the center of the “corrosion of mortgage-lending standards” that helped fuel the housing boom and subsequent bust. About 45% of the option Adjustable-rate mortgage loans that are in bonds are delinquent, according to J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. data.

The rally may help bolster fixed-income trading revenue that fell at the five biggest U.S-based Wall Street banks by more than 20% last year, excluding accounting gains, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The debt has previously gained since markets seized up in 2008. Prices rose to 65 cents in February 2011 from a low of 33 cents in 2009. That reversed when the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in April began auctioning off bonds it acquired in the 2008 government rescue of insurer AIG, sparking a rout in credit markets that intensified as investor concern grew that Europe’s sovereign debt crisis would infect bank balance sheets globally.

The New York Fed has taken advantage of the recent rally to try again. This time, the Fed switched tactics. After inviting more than 40 broker-dealers to take part in a series of auctions, it asked only a handful of banks to bid on the debt.

Goldman Sachs last week bought $6.2 billion of mortgage bonds from the AIG rescue. It held onto much of that to distribute later to clients at higher prices, regulatory data on trading volumes show.

“That’s a pretty strong message that Goldman is sending about not being in a hunkered down mode,” said Steven Delaney, an analyst at San Francisco-based JMP Securities who covers real estate investment trusts that invest in mortgages.

The offering followed a Jan. 19 sale by the central bank to Credit Suisse Group AG, which said it immediately resold a “significant” portion of $7 billion of bonds. AIG bought some of the securities from the Zurich-based bank, said people with knowledge of the transactions, who declined to be identified as the buying is private.

AIG’s holdings of residential mortgage-backed securities surged 64% to $32.6 billion in the first nine months of 2011, according to regulatory filings. CEO Robert Benmosche has increased the holdings as he seeks to boost annual pre-tax investment income by as much as $700 million.

The insurer has participated in the Fed auctions and found other sources of the securities, such as banking institutions looking to reduce risk-weighted assets, Mr. Benmosche said Wednesday at a conference in New York sponsored by Bank of America Corp. The Fed last year rejected AIG’s bid for the entire pool, called Maiden Lane II, before beginning to auction off the assets.

“We got some really good high quality mortgages, higher quality, I should say, than Maiden Lane II,” Mr. Benmosche said. “A lot of people think the lion’s share of Maiden Lane II is still owned by AIG after the auctions. That is not the case.”

A spokesman for New York-based AIG declined to comment on this year’s purchases.

Ellington Financial, which is run by hedge-fund manager Michael Vranos’ Ellington Financial Management, said it bought bonds sold in each of the two Fed auctions.

Trading in non-agency mortgage bonds averaged $15.6 billion per week in the first six periods of this year, compared with $6.6 billion in the final 20 weeks of 2011, according to data reported to regulators and compiled by Empirasign Strategies, a New York-based provider of information on securitization trading.

The securities are bouncing back “almost like a coiled spring,” Clayton DeGiacinto, chief investment officer of hedge fund Axonic Capital said in a telephone interview.

“Risk appetite among the dealers” has increased, said Mr. DeGiacinto, a former Goldman Sachs trader whose New York-based firm oversees about $350 million. “A lot of people came in on Wall Street in January and realized they didn’t have any inventory.”

Dealers have trimmed their stockpiles of debt including corporate bonds and mortgage securities without government backing to the lowest level in almost a decade, Fed data show. The holdings fell to $43 billion as of the week ended Feb. 1, down from 2011’s peak in May of $94.9 billion.

The Fed’s portfolio from AIG includes bonds backed by the types of home loans with some of the highest default rates, such as subprime, Alt-A and option adjustable-rate mortgages. Those securities, which can be difficult to value, offer a chance for a bigger profit to a savvy investor.

Renewed demand doesn’t mean a property rebound is near. Appetite for the non-agency debt is growing because of the potentially high yields rather than any changes in bond buyers’ views on housing, said Mr. DeGiacinto.

Almost 28.3% of home loans pooled in bonds without government backing are at least 60 days delinquent, in foreclosure or already turned into seized property, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The share has fallen from a record 30.2% in March 2010 as new defaults eased while regulatory probes into foreclosure practices slowed liquidations of bad debt.