United States S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index  Forecast 2016-2020
Case Shiller Home Price Index in the United States is expected to be 182.91 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Case Shiller Home Price Index in the United States to stand at 179.90 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index is projected to trend around 160.18 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.
United States S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for – United States S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index – was last predicted on Tuesday, January 26, 2016.
| United States Housing | Last | Q1/16 | Q2/16 | Q3/16 | Q4/16 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Building Permits | 1232 | 1245 | 1249 | 1254 | 1259 | 1310 |
| Housing Starts | 1149 | 1165 | 1173 | 1182 | 1192 | 1288 |
| New Home Sales | 490 | 491 | 499 | 503 | 507 | 567 |
| Pending Home Sales | 2.7 | 1.99 | 1.7 | 1.54 | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Existing Home Sales | 5460 | 5546 | 5402 | 5396 | 5378 | 5115 |
| Construction Spending | -0.4 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.3 | 0.31 |
| Housing Index | 0.5 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| Nahb Housing Market Index | 60 | 59.27 | 58.97 | 58.48 | 58.01 | 53.23 |
| Mortgage Rate | 4.06 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 4.23 | 6.5 |
| Mortgage Applications | 9 | 0.78 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| Home Ownership Rate | 63.7 | 63.7 | 63.7 | 63.7 | 63.7 | 63.7 |
| Case Shiller Home Price Index | 183 | 183 | 182 | 181 | 180 | 160 |
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