Category Archives: Westchester NY

Forecasted Values in 17 Top Markets on Weiss Maps | Chappaqua Real Estate

Here are 17 digital maps from the 100 million house database created by Allan Weiss, former CEO of Case Shiller Weiss.  Each house is a repeat sales index, which enables each index to anticipate values accurately up to 12 months in the future.

The colors represent month-over-month trends.  Red indicates depreciation, green appreciation and gray neutral.

A full set of 90 metros and 5500 Zip codes can be found on Weissindex.com and Owners.com.  Dynamic maps on the sites begin in 2006 and show changing values a month at a time.

Copyright Weiss Residential Research LLC. Provided by Owners.com.  Forecasted values have a margin of error of 3 ½ percent.

 

Atlanta July 2016

Atlanta

Chicago July 2016

chicag

Cleveland July 2016

cleveland

Denver July 2016

Denver

 

read more….

 

 

http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2015/09/weiss-forecast-maps-of-top-markets/

Student Debt Is a Bigger Barrier to Homeownership than ever | Mt Kisco Real Estate

Student loan debt continues to grow as an obstacle in a consumer’s ability to buy a home, as 57 percent of 2015 respondents who acknowledge having student loans said this debt was either “very much” or “somewhat” of an obstacle, compared to 49 percent of 2014 respondents, according to the third annual America at Home survey from NeighborWorks America.

The survey found that generally levels of student debt among adults have not changed greatly in the past year.  The percent that personally has any student debt stayed the same, at 17 percent of the national sample.  The percentage that worries about their student debt they owe either all of the time or some of the time also stayed constant, at 30 percent.

When it comes to their ability to buy a home, however, the survey found that student debt has grown to be an even greater barrier to homeownership now than it was a year ago.  One out of four participants in the survey (25%) said student is “very much of an obstacle” to buying a home, compared to 20 percent a year ago and 32 percent said it is “somewhat of an obstacle” compared to 29 percent a year ago. The percent of adults who said they who has had to delay the purchase of a home because of their student loan debt increased from 24 to 28 percent over the past 12 months.

Additionally, although mortgage rates remain historically low, a generally steady rise in home prices is outpacing income growth, leading homebuyers — especially first-time buyers — to search for ways to build up a down payment. However, nearly 40 percent of respondents have received “nothing at all” in terms of information about down payment assistance programs for middle-income homebuyers, programs that could provide thousands of dollars to help bridge a savings gap.

Finally, the housing market is being pressured by changing demographics. Of the respondents surveyed, 43 percent planned to purchase a home when they “got married or moved in with a life partner.” This is important for the housing market’s rebound, because the median age at first marriage has increased to 29.3 for men and 27.0 for women, according to the Census Bureau, up from 26.8 and 25.1 years, respectively in 2000.

“It’s clear the housing market is directly affected by many factors, and these forces identified in our survey are putting strong downward pressure on growth,” said Paul Weech, president and CEO of NeighborWorks America. “While NeighborWorks can’t address the demographic shift, we are increasing our efforts to support nonprofits that offer homebuyer education and financial capability coaching.”

 

read more…

 

http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2015/10/student-debt-is-a-bigger-barrier-to-homeownership-than-ever/

CoreLogic: Foreclosures down more than 25% since August 2014 | Armonk Real Estate

The national foreclosure inventory declined by 25.2% and completed foreclosures declined by 20.1% compared with August 2014, according to the latest report fromCoreLogic.

The number of foreclosures nationwide decreased year over year from 46,000 in August 2014 to 36,000 in August 2015, representing a decrease of 68.9% from the peak of 117,357 completed foreclosures in September 2010.

“Mortgage performance continues to improve, however there is a dichotomy between the performance of recently originated loans and legacy loans. Newly delinquent loans are at the lowest rates during the last two decades. That reflects the tight underwriting and improved economy during the last few years,” said Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic. “However, the foreclosure pipeline of legacy loans remains elevated. Over the last 12 months, there have been 500,000 completed foreclosures, more than double the number during normal periods.”

Click to enlarge

(Source: CoreLogic)

Completed foreclosures reflect the total number of homes lost to foreclosure. Since the financial crisis began in September 2008, there have been approximately 5.9 million completed foreclosures across the country, and since homeownership rates peaked in the second quarter of 2004, there have been nearly 8 million homes lost to foreclosure.

As of August 2015, the national foreclosure inventory included approximately 470,000, or 1.2%, of all homes with a mortgage compared with 629,000 homes, or 1.6%, in August 2014.

CoreLogic also reports that the number of mortgages in serious delinquency (defined as 90 days or more past due, including those loans in foreclosure or REO) declined by 20.7% from August 2014 to August 2015 with 1.3 million mortgages, or 3.5%, in this category. This is the lowest serious delinquency rate since January 2008. The foreclosure rate (defined as the share of all loans in the foreclosure process) was at 1.2% as of August 2015, which is back to January 2008 levels.

“In August, the housing market experienced solid and steady increases in sales, prices and performance and our preview data indicates those trends will continue in September,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “Longer term, the recent increase in household formations and rapidly improving labor market for millennials will provide a demographic tailwind to the housing market and keep demand firm.”

 

read more…

 

http://www.housingwire.com/articles/35329-corelogic-foreclosures-down-more-than-25-since-august-2014?eid=311691494&bid=1202967

Secondary Real-Estate Markets Are Moving Up | Waccabuc Real Estate

Move over Houston, make way for Dallas-Fort Worth — and a host of other up-and-coming secondary markets such as Charlotte, N.C., Seattle, Atlanta, Denver, Nashville, Tenn., and Portland, Ore.

That’s the conclusion of real-estate professionals who were asked about their views on the best markets for property investment and development in 2016.

The survey was conducted by the Urban Land Institute and PcW and released this week at the ULI’s fall meeting in San Francisco.

Houston was the No. 1 pick in last year’s survey on markets to watch in 2015, but it sunk to No. 23 in the latest survey for 2016 expectations, amid worries about the impact of prolonged low oil prices on the energy capital’s local economy.

In its decline, Houston was in distinguished company: Also not making the top-10 list were major gateway cities of New York, Boston and Washington, D.C., which have been losing favor with real-estate professionals in recent years.

Sixth-place Denver, also known as an energy market, “is more diversified (than Houston) and seems to be chugging right through” the low-price oil environment, said Ben Breslau, managing director of Americas Research at commercial real-estate firm JLL (NYSE:JLL), during a ULI conference panel. He noted that 5 million to 6 million square feet of commercial space hit the market this year in Houston as rents trended down.

Another panelist, Kenneth Rosen, chairman of Rosen Consulting Group, said the energy belt has a “digestive issue” and warned investors to avoid Houston.

Read More: http://news.investors.com/business-inside-real-estate/100815-774729-secondary-real-estate-markets-emerging.htm#ixzz3o6RKZeaH

Boomers Creating Massive Boom in Retrofitting Homes | Chappaqua Real Estate

With 78 million baby boomers entering or on the verge of retirement, a concerted national effort is required to adapt homes and communities for the 73 percent of seniors who prefer to age in place, according to a new report released yesterday by the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC).

The preference to grow older in one’s own home and community stems from a desire among many seniors to remain close to family and friends and maintain the social connections that have enriched their lives. They appreciate the familiarity of their own homes as well as that of the local shopping center, the community library, and their place of worship. They want to remain close to doctors, nurses, social workers, and the other professional service providers upon whom they have come to rely, according to research by AARP

That’s bad news for the nation’s real estate and housing finance industries, who have been anticipating a flood of transactions from Boomers selling their long-time residences.  But its good news for remodelers eager to retrofit family homes to make them senior-safe.

 

2015-09-26_10-56-19

Source: Adapted from Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, Housing America’s Older Adults: Meeting the Needs of an Aging Population.  JCHS tabulations of US Department of Housing and Urban Development, 2011

Many homes and communities are ill-equipped to accommodate this desire. Many of today’s homes were designed at an earlier time, before the demographic changes now transforming the country were even recognized. Most lack the necessary structural features that can make independent living into old age a viable, and communities so they are “senior friendly”. the BPC said.

 

read more…

 

http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2015/09/boomers-creating-massive-boom-in-retrofitting-homes/

Rent the ‘Hobbit treehouse’ | #Waccabuc Real Estate

hobbit10.png

Setting aside the fact that no self-respecting hobbit would ever choose to live in a tree instead of burrowing into the side of a hill, this “Hobbit treehouse” in the Black Hills of South Dakota is very, very good, with the entire interior (save for one leather couch, which still basically works) decked in very Hobbit-esque decor. The door, too, is a real highlight. If you’re passing through South Dakota and have big, fuzzy feet, thetreehouse is available for $639/night for a minimum of three nights. It doesn’t say whether there’s a surcharge if a bunch of dwarves unexpectedly show up for a dinner party.

hobbit7.png

hobbit3.jpg

hobbit2.jpg

hobbit9.png

hobbit11.png

hobbit4.jpg

hobbit1.jpg

hobbit5.jpg

hobbit6.jpg

read more…

http://curbed.com/archives/2015/09/30/hobbit-treehouse-south-dakota.php?utm_campaign=issue-40308&utm_medium=email&utm_source=Curbed

· Lord of the Rings-Inspired Hotel Invites Guests to Live in a “Hobbit Treehouse” [My Modern Met]
· Chateau De Soleil (Look:) Prodigious Hobbit Tree House!) [VRBO]

Existing Home Sales fall 4.8% | Bedford Corners Real Estate

Existing Home Sales in the United States fell 4.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5310 Thousand in August from a downwardly revised 5580 Thousand in July of 2015. It is the lowest figure since April, below market expectations. The median sale price went up 4.7% yoy and the months’ worth of supply rose 0.3 to 5.2. Existing Home Sales in the United States averaged 3842.52 Thousand from 1968 until 2015, reaching an all time high of 7250 Thousand in September of 2005 and a record low of 1370 Thousand in March of 1970. Existing Home Sales in the United States is reported by the National Association of Realtors.

United States Existing Home Sales

 

ActualPreviousHighestLowestDatesUnitFrequency
5310.005480.007250.001370.001968 – 2015ThousandMonthly
SA
Existing Home Sales occurs when the mortgage is closed. Mortgage closing usually takes place 30-60 days after the sales contract is closed. . This page provides the latest reported value for – United States Existing Home Sales – plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Content for – United States Existing Home Sales – was last refreshed on Monday, September 21, 2015.

 

CalendarGMTReferenceActualPreviousConsensusForecast (i)
2015-07-2203:00 PMJun5.49M5.32M(R)5.4M5.2M
2015-08-2003:00 PMJul5.59M5.48M5.44M5.4M
2015-09-2103:00 PMAug5.31M5.58M5.53M5.4M
2015-10-2203:00 PMSep5.6M
2015-11-2303:00 PMOct5.6M
2015-12-2203:00 PMNov5.5M

read more…

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/existing-home-sales

 

NAHB reports home builders confidence at 10 year high | Mt Kisco Real Estate

The National Association of Home Builders’ housing market index increased for the second straight month by 1 point to 62 in September of 2015. It is the highest figure since October of 2005, boosted by an increase in buyer traffic and current sales while the gauge for sales over the next 6 months decreased. Nahb Housing Market Index in the United States averaged 48.63 from 1985 until 2015, reaching an all time high of 78 in December of 1998 and a record low of 8 in January of 2009. Nahb Housing Market Index in the United States is reported by the National Association of Home Builders.

United States Nahb Housing Market Index

 

ActualPreviousHighestLowestDatesUnitFrequency
62.0061.0078.008.001985 – 2015Monthly
SA
NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) is based on a monthly survey of home builders. They are asked to rate current sales of single-family homes and sales expectations for the next six months and to rate traffic of prospective buyers. Scores for responses to each component are used to calculate a seasonally adjusted overall index, where a number over 50 indicates more builders view sales conditions as good than poor. This page provides the latest reported value for – United States Nahb Housing Market Index – plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Content for – United States Nahb Housing Market Index – was last refreshed on Wednesday, September 16, 2015.

 

CalendarGMTReferenceActualPreviousConsensusForecast (i)
2015-07-1603:00 PMJul6060(R)6057.76
2015-08-1703:00 PMAug61606159.26
2015-09-1603:00 PMSep62616161.40
2015-10-1603:00 PMOct6261.69
2015-11-1803:00 PMNov62.17
2015-12-1503:00 PMDec62.06

 

United States HousingLastPreviousHighestLowestUnit
Housing Index0.200.501.42-1.72percent[+]
Building Permits1130.001337.002419.00513.00Thousand[+]
Housing Starts1206.001204.002494.00478.00Thousand[+]
New Home Sales507.00481.001389.00270.00Thousand[+]
Pending Home Sales7.408.2030.00-24.50percent[+]
Existing Home Sales5590.005480.007250.001370.00Thousand[+]
Construction Spending0.700.105.90-4.80percent[+]
Nahb Housing Market Index62.0061.0078.008.00[+]
Mortgage Rate4.094.1010.563.47percent[+]
Mortgage Applications-7.00-6.2049.10-38.80percent[+]
Case Shiller Home Price Index180.88177.08206.52100.00Index Points[+]
Home Ownership Rate63.4063.7069.2062.90percent[+]

 

Nahb Housing Market IndexReferencePreviousHighestLowestUnit
United States62.00Sep/1561.0078.008.00[+]

 

 

read more….

 

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/nahb-housing-market-index

 

US Home Builders Optimistic | Waccabuc Real Estate

U.S. homebuilders are feeling slightly more optimistic about the housing market, nudging their confidence this month to a level not seen since the high-flying days of the housing boom nearly 10 years ago.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index released Wednesday rose this month to 62, up from 61 in August. The last time the reading was higher was October 2005 at 68.

Readings above 50 indicate more builders view sales conditions as good, rather than poor. The index has been consistently above 50 since July last year.

Builders’ view of current sales conditions and their view of traffic by prospective buyers rose this month. But their outlook for sales over the next six months declined slightly.

read more..

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/fronts/BUSINESS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME

Jobs, Rates and Housing | Bedford Corners Real Estate

The Labor Department posts an employment report every month, and people look at it as a ladder rung up or down on the “wall of worry” over where the fragile economic and housing’s recovery is headed.

Bottom line, as these things go, fear is bad and greed is good.

Today’s has more freight than usual. Among the people who “look at it as a ladder rung up or down” are the U.S. Federal Reserve governors, who, it’s known, have an agenda item for their Sept. 16-17 meeting that may tie directly to today’s report.

The economy added 173,000 jobs to payrolls in the month of August. This fell short of the level Wall Street’s “consensus” of economists expected. The higher range of the consensus may have worked as a harbinger of a Fed belief that it’s time to lift borrowing costs. Having come in at the “under” level of the over-under range, may equally be a signal to the Fed that raising rates would put a damper on an economy still trying to find solid footing in an uncertain international economic context.

Here’s the Labor Department top line, focusing on payroll additions and the unemployment rate, which fell.

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 173,000 in August, and the unemployment rate edged down to 5.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care and social assistance and in financial activities. Manufacturing and mining lost jobs…..In August, the unemployment rate edged down to 5.1 percent, and the number of unemployed persons edged down to 8.0 million.

What this means in reality is the subject of a lot of speculation. “Five things to watch” and “previews” foretell a queasy reaction among Wall Street traders. They are America’s metaphor for impulsive, over-reaction, often to mixed indicators. But with a slow-down playing out in China’s economy and an iffy scenario shaping up in the eurozone, a Labor Department jobs report takes on “lightning rod” status for people whose jobs are to bet on the direction as well as the trajectory of corporate profit capability.

What it means to home builders, one can only shrug and guess that there’ll be an immediate impulsive interpretation, a medium-term effect, and an ultimate impact, none of the three of which may have to do with one another. Likely, for large companies in the home building and development ecosystem, including investors, materials suppliers, and manufacturers, upward pressure on borrowing costs may precipitate the next slew in what many consider to be an inevitable series of consolidation moves. As local as real estate is, the industry serving it on the horizontal and vertical development and construction side of the equation is becoming a smaller, more finite world of fewer bigger players.

All of this is tangential to those who spend two of every three dollars in the United States’ $18 trillion economy, American consumers. New Strategist Press editorial director Cheryl Russell notes that an important shift in that spending came to light with the release of Consumer Expenditure Survey data for 2014.

 

read more…

 

http://www.builderonline.com/builder-100/strategy/jobs-rates-and-housing_o?utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=Article&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=BP_090415%20(1)&he=bd1fdc24fd8e2adb3989dffba484790dcdb46483