Category Archives: Cross River NY

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Single-Family and Multifamily Construction Spending Continue to Increase | Cross River Real Estate

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NAHB analysis of Census construction spending data found that on a 3-month moving average basis, from January 2014, single-family construction spending increased 11.4% and multifamily construction spending increased 28.9%. The seasonally adjusted annual spending for single-family construction was $204.9 billion and $48.9 billion for multifamily construction.

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Single-family and multifamily construction spending both experienced monthly increases over December estimates. Single-family spending increased 0.6% month-over-month. Multifamily spending increased 1.9% month-over-month.

Increased construction spending is a reflection of improving market conditions. Builder sentiment in the multifamily market remains positive as rents remain high and vacancy rates low.   Builder sentiment in the single-family market is also positive as new home sales increase and the labor market improves.

 

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http://eyeonhousing.org/2015/03/

U.S. Housing Stability Improves for Fourth Consecutive Month | Cross River Real Estate

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Freddie Mac today released its newly updated Multi-Indicator Market Index® (MiMi®) showing the U.S. housing market continuing to stabilize at the national level for the fourth consecutive month. Thirty-eight of the 50 states, plus the District of Columbia, and 40 of the 50 metros, are now showing an improving three month trend. Three additional metros entered their benchmarked stable ranges of housing activity including Buffalo, Boston and Nashville.

News Facts:

  • The national MiMi value stands at 74.9, indicating a weak housing market overall but showing a slight improvement (+0.37%) from November to December and a positive 3-month trend of (+1.09%). On a year-over-year basis, the U.S. housing market has improved (+4.41%). The nation’s all-time MiMi high of 121.7 was April 2006; its low was 57.2 in October 2010, when the housing market was at its weakest. Since that time, the housing market has made a 31 percent rebound.
  • Sixteen of the 50 states plus the District of Columbia have MiMi values in a stable range, with the District of Columbia (97.6), North Dakota (97.2), Montana (91.1), Hawaii (89.9) and Wyoming (89.1) ranking in the top five.
  • Eleven of the 50 metro areas have MiMi values in a stable range, with Los Angeles (86.4), Austin (86.3), San Jose (83.9), Houston (83.3), and Pittsburgh (83.3) ranking in the top five.
  • The most improving states month-over-month were Delaware (+1.87%), Michigan (+1.28%), North Carolina (+1.18%), Oregon (+1.18%) and Texas (+0.85%) On a year-over-year basis, the most improving states were Nevada (+19.87%), Colorado (+11.42%), Rhode Island (10.52%), Illinois (+10.14%), and Ohio (+9.27%)
  • The most improving metro areas month-over-month were Detroit (+1.40%), Tampa (+1.28), Kansas City (+1.13%), Louisville (+1.12%), and Charlotte (1.04%). On a year-over-year basis the most improving metro areas were Las Vegas (+19.76%), Denver (+12.14%), Chicago (+10.93%), Providence (+10.35%) and Columbus (+9.36%).
  • In December, 38 of the 50 states and 40 of the 50 metros were showing an improving three month trend. The same time last year, 47 states plus the District of Columbia, and 47 of the top 50 metro areas were showing an improving three month trend.

Quote attributable to Freddie Mac Deputy Chief Economist Len Kiefer:

“Housing markets are getting back on track. The national MiMi improved for the fourth consecutive month. Nearly 80 percent of the state and metro housing markets MiMi tracks are improving or in their stable range of activity. We’ve even seen the MiMi purchase application indicator increase 0.07 percent on a year-over-year basis. Low mortgage rates and moderating house price growth are helping to keep payment-to-income ratios favorable for the typical family in most of the country. In fact, Los Angeles is the only metro market with an elevated MiMi payment-to-income indicator whereas most other markets remain quite affordable. And of course, labor markets are generally improving.

“As we mentioned last month, we’re keeping an eye on markets with deep ties to energy. We’ve seen some deterioration on a month-over-month basis in some of these energy markets. For example, Louisiana has seen its state employment situation deteriorate over the last several months. A declining employment indicator has caused its MiMi score to move from 86.7 in April down to 80.2.”

The 2015 MiMi release calendar is available online. The February release of MiMi includes revisions to the Purchase Applications indicator based on the latest The Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data.

MiMi monitors and measures the stability of the nation’s housing market, as well as the housing markets of all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and the top 50 metro markets. MiMi combines proprietary Freddie Mac data with current local market data to assess where each single-family housing market is relative to its own long-term stable range by looking at home purchase applications, payment-to-income ratios (changes in home purchasing power based on house prices, mortgage rates and household income), proportion of on-time mortgage payments in each market, and the local employment picture. The four indicators are combined to create a composite MiMi value for each market. Monthly, MiMi uses this data to show, at a glance, where each market stands relative to its own stable range of housing activity. MiMi also indicates how each market is trending, whether it is moving closer to, or further away from, its stable range. A market can fall outside its stable range by being too weak to generate enough demand for a well-balanced housing market or by overheating to an unsustainable level of activity.

Existing-home sales slow to 9-month low in January | Cross River Real Estate

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The housing market didn’t get off to a great start in 2015, as existing-home sales in January fell to the lowest level in nine months.

The National Association of Realtors reported that home sales fell 4.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.82 million. Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast a 4.95 million rate.

December’s data saw a mild upward revision to 5.07 million from an initially reported 5.04 million.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the NAR, attributed the decline to a lack of housing supply and rising prices.

The median existing-home price was $199,600, which is 6.2% above January 2014 levels. Inventory edged up 0.5% to 1.87 million homes, or a 4.7 month supply at the current sales price.

Yun added that low mortgage rates are generating interest, but the lack of new and affordable listings is delaying decisions.

Other factoids from the January report:

• All-cash sales were 27% of all transactions, up from 26% in December but down from 33% in January 2014.

• Distressed sales were 11% of all sales, unchanged from December.

• Properties typically stayed on the market slightly longer in January (69 days) than December (66 days) and a year ago (67 days).

• The share of first-time buyers declined to 28% in January, the lowest since June.

“Today a somewhat softer-than-expected report is a further sign that housing is still struggling to gain altitude although we expect further signs of recovery in the next two to three years as the improving job market encourages more first-time buyers,” said Peter Buchanan, an economist at CIBC World Markets.

 

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http://www.marketwatch.com/story/existing-home-sales-slow-to-9-month-low-in-january-2015-02-23

LeBron James’ $17 Million Grove House is Still Available | Cross River Real Estate

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We haven’t heard about it much lately, so here’s a quick update. Just over four months after the abdicated King of Miami basketball LeBron James put his castle on the market, signaling that, yes, he was giving up Miami for good, the$17 million house still there. Not that that’s all that surprising. It’s only been four months. But then again the total absence of this house from headlines since then might also say something. James’ house comes with a “sommelier’s dream wine cellar”, a fancy kitchen, dockage space for two 60-foot yachts, a big wall around it, an infinity pool with a rather bold lighting scheme, 16,768 square feet of living space, 4500 square feet of entertainment space, six bedrooms, and 6.5 baths, an infinity pool, ceilings high enough for a basketball player, and some gorgeous listing photos.

In other LeBron news, he apparently keeps coming back to Miami.

 

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http://miami.curbed.com/archives/2015/02/18/

Consumer Lending (And Risk) Grows | Cross River Real Estate

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A recent release from the Federal Reserve Board indicates that consumer credit outstanding grew by a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.9% over the year of 2014, accelerating from the 6.0% growth rate recorded in 2013. At the end of 2014, there was $3.3 trillion in consumer credit outstanding.

The expansion in consumer credit outstanding over the year largely reflected an increase in non-revolving credit outstanding. Non-revolving credit is mostly composed of auto loans and student loans. According to the release, non-revolving credit rose by a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.2%, $183.6 billion, accounting for 86% of the total growth in consumer credit outstanding for the year. The increase in non-revolving credit outstanding in 2014 marks the 5th consecutive year of growth since the 0.6% decline in 2009. Over this 5-year period, growth in non-revolving credit has averaged 8.2% per year.

Revolving credit, largely composed of credit cards, also contributed to the annual growth of consumer credit outstanding in 2014. Over the year, revolving credit outstanding grew by a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.5%, $30.3 billion, accounting for 14% of the total growth in consumer credit outstanding. Despite its smaller contribution to growth in overall consumer credit outstanding, revolving credit outstanding continues to show signs of recovering. Since declining by 7.6% in 2010, revolving credit outstanding has experienced annual gains in the subsequent 4 years. Moreover, each year of growth in revolving credit has exceeded the increase in the prior year. The 3.5% growth rate in revolving credit recorded over 2014 is the highest rate of growth since the 7.6% increase in 2007.

 

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http://eyeonhousing.org/2015/02/consumer-lending-and-risk-grows/

Mortgages in 2014: Winners and Losers | Cross River Real Estate

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More and more home buyers are finally getting the financing they need, according the year-end Elli Mae Originations Insights Report. But not everyone fared so well.

Two out of three applications for a mortgage were approved in November and December, the highest approval rate in years. Some 67.1 percent of applications were approved, up from 31 percent two years ago and well above the 2014 annual average of 63.3 percent.

Even more importantly, today more people with good but not perfect credit scores are getting mortgages to buy a home. The average FICO score for all loans in 2014 was 726, 12 points lower than 2013 and 22 points lower than it was 748 in 2012. However, the average FICO for a mortgage still higher than the median average FICO score of 692.

FHA borrowers with even lower FICO scores are more likely to get a mortgage approval than conventional borrowers. The average FICO score to buy a home in 2014 was only 684, down from 695 in 2013.

Yet there’s bad news for student loan debtors. Debt to income requirements for purchase loans barely budged in 2014. Average front end ratios for purchase loans were the same in 2014 as 2013: 24 percent. Back end ratios loosened slightly, rising only from 36 to 37 percent. The data may reflect the impact of the QM Rule, implemented in 2014, which limits DTI ratios to 43 percent. For first-time buyers saddled with high student loan debt, this is not good news.

Home buyers applying for conventional financing saw very little improvement in average FICO scores during the year. FICO scores remain very high compared to other loan types. In 2014 the average FICO was 755 for conventional loans, far above the average of 726 for all loan types. By comparison, the average FICO for conventional purchase loan borrowers was 759 in 2013 and 763 in 2012. In two years, the average FICO score for approved conventional purchase loans has changed only 8 points.

Borrowers with the credit and down payment for a conventional loan were also more likely to get approved. A higher percentage of conventional purchase loan applications were approved than any other loan type. In December, 62.8 percent were approved compared to 63.2 percent for FHA loans and 7.1 percent for all purchase loans.

 

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http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2015/02/mortgages-in-2014-winners-and-losers/

Exploring New York City’s Irresistibly Eerie Abandoned Places | Cross River Real Estate

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Abandoned%20NYC_Will%20Ellis_Curbed-7.jpg[Harlem’s P.S. 186 in 2012. It has been abandoned for nearly four decades, but there areplans to turn it into affordable housing. All photos by Will Ellis.]

Photographer Will Ellis made a name for himself capturing New York’s amazing decrepit spaces on his blog Abandoned NYC, and now his work is the subject of a new book, out this week. The book features 16 derelict locations (mostly) within city limits, including brand new photos of five locations never released online (hello, sunken Coney Island submarine). Ellis’s love of abandoned buildings is as deeply tied to a curiosity for the ghoulish as it is to an intense connection with the history behind New York City’s many stories. His blog covers NYC abandonments more extensively and prosaically than nearly any other print or online source, and his photos capture the beauty of what many shrug off as eyesores and urban blight. Ellis talked with Curbed contributor Hannah Frishberg about the book and shared 18 photos of a few of his favorite sites.

How did you get into urban exploration?

It wasn’t something that I set out to do at all, I was just out one day with my camera in Red Hook, just kind of looking around, looking for inspiration, and I came across this huge warehouse, 160 Imlay Street [ed. note: This building is now being converted into condos]. I’ve always been drawn to creepy stuff: ghosts, monsters, stuff like that. Halloween was my favorite holiday growing up. So that’s kind of what drew me to it, initially. I was also reading a lot of these old gothic fiction and horror stories at the time, H.P. Lovecraft and stuff like that. A lot of those stories are about creating that sense of atmosphere, and more often than not they’re set in these decrepit estates. So I was able to find those places I was drawn to in these books, but to find them in real life, in my own backyard. I still don’t think of myself as a daredevil. I never used to break the law much, I played by the rules. I’m scared of heights. But I saw you could just walk into the building, and I went for it that day. From that point on, I was hooked. That sensation of discovery, the thrill and adrenaline of it. Especially in the first two months I was doing this. For several months I was going out every chance I got. I’ve slowed down a bit since then.

 

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http://ny.curbed.com/archives/2015/01/29/exploring_new_york_citys_irresistibly_eerie_abandoned_places.php

Mortgage Loan Rates Fall to 16-Month Low | Cross River Real Estate

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The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) released its most recent report on mortgage applications Wednesday morning. It noted a week­over­week increase of 14.2% in the group’s seasonally adjusted composite index for the week ending January 16, following a rise of 49.1% for the two­ week period endingJanuary 9. Mortgage loan rates dropped on all types of loans for the third consecutive reporting period and are now at levels equal to mid­2013.

On an unadjusted basis, the composite index increased by 17% week­over­week. The seasonally adjusted purchase index decreased 3% compared to the week ended January 2. The unadjusted purchase index rose by 3% for the week and is now 3% higher year­ over ­year.

The MBA’s chief economist explained:
Mortgage application volume increased last week to its highest level since June 2013, led by a
22 percent increase in refinance application volume. This increase was largely due to mortgage
rates dropping to their lowest level since May 2013. However, the recent reduction in FHA
mortgage insurance premiums also played a role: FHA refinance applications increased 57
percent last week.
Adjustable rate mortgage loans accounted for 6.4% of all applications, up from 5.9% in the prior week.
The MBA’s refinance index increased 22% week­over­week, and the percentage of all new applications that were seeking refinancing rose from 71% in the prior week to 74%.

Conventional refinancing applications rose 21% week­over­week, while government refinancing rose 29%.
FHA refinancing applications rose 57%, raising the FHA share of all refinancings from 4.1% to 5.2%, compared with the prior week.

 

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http://247wallst.com/housing/2015/01/21/mortgage-loan-rates-fall-to-16-month-low/

Gorgeous Brooklyn Heights Townhouse Wants $7.2 Million | Cross River Real Estate

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First up is this beautiful brick townhouse in Brooklyn Heights. The house was built in 1849 and there’s a ton of historic details, plus an elevator, 12′ ceilings, and bay windows overlooking a garden designed by landscape architect Alice Ireys. The place is 25′-wide and has around 6,500 square feet of living space. It’s asking $7.2 million.

↑ Over in Williamsburg, this three-story townhouse is asking $4.3 million. The place was built in 1890 and was gut-renovated 13 years ago. It’s currently configured for multiple families but it can be converted into a single-family home quite easily.

↑ This four-unit, two-story investment property in Weeksville is asking $1.495 million. The place is fully-rented and offers an income of $8,400/month. It has a two-car garage, separate boilers, hardwood flooring, and a coin operated laundry.

 

 

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http://ny.curbed.com/archives/2015/01/04/gorgeous_brooklyn_heights_townhouse_wants_72_million.php

Mortgage Loan Rates Drop to 18-Month Low | Cross River Real Estate

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The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) released its weekly report on mortgage applications Wednesday morning, noting a decrease of 3.3% in the group’s seasonally adjusted composite index for the week ending December 12. That followed a rise of 7.3% for the previous week. Mortgage loan rates fell on all loan types during the week.

On an unadjusted basis, the composite index decreased by 4% week-over-week. The seasonally adjusted purchase index decreased 7% compared to the week ended December 5. The unadjusted purchase index fell by 10% for the week and remains 5% lower year-over-year.

Adjustable rate mortgage loans accounted for 6.2% of all applications, down from 7.0% in the prior week.

The MBA’s refinance index rose from 60% in the prior week to 64%, and the market share for adjustable rate mortgage loan applications dropped to 6.2%.

The average mortgage loan rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased from 4.11 to 4.06%, the lowest since May 2013. The rate for a jumbo 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased from 4.07% to 3.99%. The average interest rate for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased from 3.35% to 3.33%.

 

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http://finance.yahoo.com/news/mortgage-loan-rates-drop-18-122553203.html