- Raising fed funds rate too fast. Should have been only two increases in 2018.
- Time to reduce rates 50 bps.
- Inflation is 1%-1.25%, , not 2.2%.
- GDP growth closer to 1.5% rather than 3%.
- Selling off balance sheet the same as raising fed funds rate.
- Stock market sees low growth, low inflation this year and next because rate increases not needed.